| Climate |
| Climate Alarm |
Presentation on Climate v. Climate Alarm
28-Aug-11
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Richard S. Lindzen, Department of Earth, Atmospheric and Planetary Sciences, Massachusetts Institute of Technology |
Abstract: The public perception of the climate problem is somewhat schizophrenic. On the one hand, the problem is perceived to be so complex that it cannot be approached without massive computer programs. On the other hand, the physics is claimed to be so basic that the dire conclusions commonly presented are considered to be self-evident.
Consistent with this situation, climate has become a field where there is a distinct separation of theory and modeling. Commonly, in fluid mechanics, theory provides useful constraints and tests when applied to modeling results. This has been notably absent in current work on climate.
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| Climate Change |
How To Think About Climate Change
20-Mar-21
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William Happer, An Online Discussion of the Schiller Institute. |
Abstract: Link to YouTube Video
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A Constraint Equation for Climate
29-Oct-21
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Howard "Cork" Hayden |
Abstract: The IPCC’s Sixth Assessment Report (AR6) is some 3949 pages long and is dedicated mostly to many complex details in the estimates of our future CO2 emissions, the behavior of the atmosphere, estimations of temperatures in places without thermometers, melting permafrost, atmospheric H2O content, ice melt, sea rise, feedback mechanisms, and so forth. The climate system is certainly complex and chaotic, but it is still subject to constraints. We will derive an important—but simple—equation of constraint. The equation will be of no use in predicting the worldwide average temperature in (say) 2060, nor will it be of use in describing the climate in any locale. Its usefulness lies in the fact that at equilibrium it must be balanced.
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| CO2, IR, and Climate |
Comments on CO2, IR, and Climate
28-Mar-21
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Howard “Cork” Hayden, Professor of Physics, Emeritus |
Abstract: It is hard to believe, when thinking of things as large as the earth, that people get bogged down in minutiae, staring at things through microscopes and not seeing the globe. This essay is about the big picture, and everything herein is based on well-known facts.
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CO2 vs. Albedo
19-Aug-23
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Howard “Cork” Hayden, Prof. Emeritus of Physics, UConn, corkhayden@comcast.net |
Abstract: In IPCC jargon, radiative forcing refers to changes in the radiative flux of the earth, compared to the “pre-industrial” period of 1850-1900. In the more rational jargon of van Wijngaarden and Happer, the term refers to the totality of the radiative flux.
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| Mathematical Deceits |
Another Way to Lie with Statistics
27-Jul-24
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Howard “Cork” Hayden, Prof. Emeritus of Physics, UConn, corkhayden@comcast.net |
Abstract: Mathematics is the language of science. However, some scientists use mathematics and statistics to deceive others and, perhaps, themselves. One example is claiming that a slight increase in climate (temperatures) can result in a major increase in extreme weather events. Below is an explanation how this was done in IPCC’s Third Assessment Report (AR3, 2001), using the assertions in the U.S. Global Change Research Program in 2008 with NOAA’s Tom Karl as convening lead author.
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| NIPCC |
Nature, Not Human Activity, Rules the Climate
01-Apr-08
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S. Fred Singer, SEPP |
Abstract: Published by THE HEARTLAND INSTITUTE
Our concern about the environment, going back
some 40 years, has taught us important lessons. It is
one thing to impose drastic measures and harsh
economic penalties when an environmental problem
is clear-cut and severe. It is foolish to do so when
the problem is largely hypothetical and not
substantiated by observations. As NIPCC shows by
offering an independent, non-governmental second
opinion on the global warming issue, we do not
currently have any convincing evidence or
observations of significant climate change from
other than natural causes.
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| Observations |
The State of the Climate 2024
Based on real observations
22-Jun-24
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Ole Humlum, Professor |
Abstract: Principal question:
Are we currently in a climate crisis?
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Internal and External Processes
20-Oct-24
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Howard “Cork” Hayden, Prof. Emeritus of Physics, UConn, corkhayden@comcast.net |
Abstract: As far as I can tell, there may be 10,000 PhD dissertations already written or waiting to be written about rain, hail, snow, glaciers, hurricanes, typhoons, cyclonic storms, melting ice, sea level evaporation from the oceans, melting snow, melting ice, the movement of air across the globe, the influence of continental drift on weather patterns, and so forth. These subjects and their kin involve internal energy exchanges, and they describe how weather patterns move around the globe.
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Atoms and Molecules
08-Feb-25
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Howard “Cork” Hayden, Prof. Emeritus of Physics, UConn, corkhayden@comcast.net |
Abstract: To understand both the bites taken out of the IR spectrum by atmospheric gases and the radiative forcing due to changes in concentrations of those gases, it is necessary to understand a little bit about spectra. Figure 3 shows the spectra of visible light for hydrogen and helium atoms in the usual way: vertical lines as they are seen in a spectroscope. At the left of Figure 3 is a schematic energy level diagram for hydrogen showing the transitions between levels as colored arrows representing the colors of light emitted. The intensity of the lines in the spectroscope manifests itself in the brightness of the lines.
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| Omissions |
Where Were the "Climate Scientists?"
01-Apr-24
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Howard “Cork” Hayden, Prof. Emeritus of Physics, UConn, corkhayden@comcast.net |
Abstract: Look up the climate for a certain place you’d like to visit, and you’ll find long-term averages of temperature, rainfall, snowfall, humidity, and the like. Properly, “long-term” implies at least 30 years.
When climatologists talk about “the climate,” they refer to such data averaged all over the planet. Phenomena such as a hot spell in New England, a whole season of hotter weather than average in the Great Plains, or “atmospheric rivers” causing unusual flooding in California are local weather events, not changes in local climate, and certainly not changes in planetary climate.
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Where Were/Are the “Climate Scientists?”
Presentation to Doctors for Defensive Preparedness,
07-Jul-24
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Howard “Cork” Hayden, Prof. Emeritus of Physics, UConn, corkhayden@comcast.net |
Abstract: The world needs some climate rationality.
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Radiative Forcing
08-Feb-25
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Howard “Cork” Hayden, Prof. Emeritus of Physics, UConn, corkhayden@comcast.net |
Abstract: The heat balance of the earth—like that of every planet and moon—is determined by precisely three variables: sunlight at orbit, albedo (reflectivity), and the amount of IR going to space. All of them involve radiation, either visible light from the sun or invisible IR. The IPCC defines radiative forcing not as the quantities of these radiative contributions, but as changes in them from some reference point (typically the 1850-1900 period, but sometimes the present).
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| Paleoclimatology |
Lessons from Paleoclimatology: Conveniently Ignored By the IPCC
20-Apr-22
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Tom Gallagher, Irish Climate Science Forum and CLINTEL |
Abstract: SETTING THE SCENE
• Climate Change (not weather!)
• Variations In Incoming Solar Energy (Milankovitch and other cycles)
• Energy Storage (mechanisms and lags)
• Energy Transport (Ocean Currents, Continental Drift)
• Time (the past 67 million years and further)
• Data: Proxies, Fossils, Isotopes vs Theory
• The Past as a Key to the Present, and Perhaps the Trends of the
Future
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| Physics |
Basic Climate Physics #1
13-Mar-22
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Howard “Cork” Hayden, Prof. Emeritus of Physics, UConn, corkhayden@comcast.net |
Abstract: One fact at a time
This short essay is the first in a short series about basic (meaning all-inclusive) physics that pertains to the subject
of climate.
Bear in mind that my purpose is not to engage in details about wind, rain, snow, storms, historical climatology,
Milankovitch cycles, or any of the common topics discussed about climate.
What I will discuss is some simple
physics.
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Basic Climate Physics #2
13-Mar-22
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Howard “Cork” Hayden, Prof. Emeritus of Physics, UConn, corkhayden@comcast.net |
Abstract: One fact at a time
This short essay is the second in a short series about basic (meaning all-inclusive) physics that pertains to the subject
of climate.
Bear in mind that my purpose is not to engage in details about wind, rain, snow, storms, historical climatology,
Milankovitch cycles, or any of the common topics discussed about climate. What I will discuss is some simple
physics.
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Basic Climate Physics #3
20-Mar-22
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Howard “Cork” Hayden, Prof. Emeritus of Physics, UConn, corkhayden@comcast.net |
Abstract: One fact at a time
This short essay is the third in a short series about basic (meaning all-inclusive) physics that pertains to the subject
of climate.
Bear in mind that my purpose is not to engage in details about wind, rain, snow, storms, historical climatology,
Milankovitch cycles, or any of the common topics discussed about climate. What I will discuss is some simple
physics.
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Basic Climate Physics #4
20-Mar-22
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Howard “Cork” Hayden, Prof. Emeritus of Physics, UConn, corkhayden@comcast.net |
Abstract: One fact at a time
This short essay is the fourth in a short series about basic (meaning all-inclusive) physics that pertains to the subject
of climate.
Bear in mind that my purpose is not to engage in details about wind, rain, snow, storms, historical climatology,
Milankovitch cycles, or any of the common topics discussed about climate. What I will discuss is some simple
physics.
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Basic Climate Physics #5
20-Mar-22
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Howard “Cork” Hayden, Prof. Emeritus of Physics, UConn, corkhayden@comcast.net |
Abstract: One fact at a time
This short essay is the fifth in a short series about basic (meaning all-inclusive) physics that pertains to the subject
of climate.
Bear in mind that my purpose is not to engage in details about wind, rain, snow, storms, historical climatology,
Milankovitch cycles, or any of the common topics discussed about climate. What I will discuss is some simple
physics.
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Basic Climate Physics #6
27-Mar-22
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Howard “Cork” Hayden, Prof. Emeritus of Physics, UConn, corkhayden@comcast.net |
Abstract: One fact at a time
This short essay is the sixth in a short series about basic (meaning all-inclusive) physics that pertains to the subject
of climate.
Bear in mind that my purpose is not to engage in details about wind, rain, snow, storms, historical climatology,
Milankovitch cycles, or any of the common topics discussed about climate. What I will discuss is some simple
physics.
We begin with a section from Basic Climate Physics #5
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Basic Climate Physics #7
27-Mar-22
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Howard “Cork” Hayden, Prof. Emeritus of Physics, UConn, corkhayden@comcast.net |
Abstract: One fact at a time
This short essay is the seventh in a short series about basic (meaning all-inclusive) physics that pertains to the subject
of climate.
Bear in mind that my purpose is not to engage in details about wind, rain, snow, storms, historical climatology,
Milankovitch cycles, or any of the common topics discussed about climate. What I will discuss is some simple
physics.
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Basic Climate Physics #8
27-Mar-22
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Howard “Cork” Hayden, Prof. Emeritus of Physics, UConn, corkhayden@comcast.net |
Abstract: One fact at a time
This short essay is the eighth in a short series about basic (meaning all-inclusive) physics that pertains to the subject
of climate.
Bear in mind that my purpose is not to engage in details about wind, rain, snow, storms, historical climatology,
Milankovitch cycles, or any of the common topics discussed about climate. What I will discuss is some simple
physics.
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Basic Climate Physics #9
27-Mar-22
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Howard “Cork” Hayden, Prof. Emeritus of Physics, UConn, corkhayden@comcast.net |
Abstract: One fact at a time
This short essay is the ninth in a short series about basic (meaning all-inclusive) physics that pertains to the subject
of climate.
Bear in mind that my purpose is not to engage in details about wind, rain, snow, storms, historical climatology,
Milankovitch cycles, or any of the common topics discussed about climate. What I will discuss is some simple
physics.
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Basic Climate Physics #10
27-Mar-22
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Howard “Cork” Hayden, Prof. Emeritus of Physics, UConn, corkhayden@comcast.net |
Abstract: One fact at a time
This short essay is the tenth in a short series about basic (meaning all-inclusive) physics that pertains to the subject
of climate.
Bear in mind that my purpose is not to engage in details about wind, rain, snow, storms, historical climatology,
Milankovitch cycles, or any of the common topics discussed about climate. What I will discuss is some simple
physics.
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Basic Climate Physics - Extended UN Deficiency
01-Oct-22
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Howard Hayden |
Abstract: CO2 Emissions - For some wavelengths, infrared travels less than a meter before being absorbed by CO2 at our present concentration of about 400 molecules per million molecules of air (ppmv). For a lot more wavelengths, the IR is stopped before going 10 meters. Accordingly, even with only 1 percent as much CO2 as we have, CO2 would be a strong greenhouse absorber. However, we are concerned with what happens as the atmospheric CO2 concentration increases from 400 ppmv [parts per million in volume] to 800 ppmv, as may happen during the next century.
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| Radiation Transfer |
Radiation Transport in Clouds
15-Jun-24
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William Happer, Cyrus Fogg Bracket Professor of Physics, Emeritus, Princeton |
Abstract: No doubt some proponents of the myth of a climate crisis are sincere, if misguided. However, many others support the myth out of a lust for power and wealth. Alas, this has happened all too often in human history. Emmanuel Kant got it right; “Aus so krummen Holtze, als woraus der Mensch gemacht ist, kann nichts ganz Gerades gezimmert werden.” Isaiah Berlin’s English translation is: “Out of the crooked timber of humanity, no straight thing was ever made.”
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